Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.007791 0.008759 0.009816 0.011060 0.012486 0.014072 0.015978
2025-01-19 0.006068 0.007338 0.008844 0.010775 0.013197 0.016158 0.020081
2025-01-26 0.005228 0.006632 0.008390 0.010778 0.013967 0.018126 0.024037
2025-02-02 0.004817 0.006357 0.008377 0.011255 0.015311 0.020907 0.029368
2025-02-09 0.004319 0.005887 0.008020 0.011186 0.015848 0.022597 0.033356
2025-02-16 0.003974 0.005573 0.007825 0.011291 0.016607 0.024650 0.038124
2025-02-23 0.003613 0.005195 0.007487 0.011128 0.016917 0.026026 0.041982
2025-03-02 0.003389 0.004990 0.007374 0.011282 0.017715 0.028235 0.047499
2025-03-09 0.003140 0.004721 0.007135 0.011202 0.018110 0.029810 0.052124
2025-03-16 0.002838 0.004342 0.006688 0.010733 0.017792 0.030113 0.054457
2025-03-23 0.002657 0.004140 0.006503 0.010677 0.018169 0.031667 0.059354
2025-03-30 0.002601 0.004133 0.006633 0.011167 0.019561 0.035225 0.068736
2025-04-06 0.002379 0.003841 0.006272 0.010781 0.019342 0.035795 0.072256
2025-04-13 0.002195 0.003602 0.005985 0.010502 0.019302 0.036726 0.076757
2025-04-20 0.002076 0.003463 0.005859 0.010505 0.019804 0.038801 0.084153
2025-04-27 0.002037 0.003459 0.005972 0.010969 0.021278 0.043096 0.097513
2025-05-04 0.001925 0.003317 0.005820 0.010901 0.021645 0.045052 0.105587
2025-05-11 0.001845 0.003228 0.005758 0.011003 0.022380 0.047927 0.116554
2025-05-18 0.001740 0.003083 0.005577 0.010845 0.022525 0.049452 0.124251
2025-05-25 0.001680 0.003018 0.005546 0.010994 0.023373 0.052765 0.137547
2025-06-01 0.001598 0.002906 0.005415 0.010917 0.023690 0.054822 0.147704
2025-06-08 0.001481 0.002720 0.005122 0.010461 0.023068 0.054428 0.150505
2025-06-15 0.001416 0.002628 0.005014 0.010407 0.023405 0.056559 0.161537